Rare Tropical Storm Possible In April
There’s nothing to freak out about, but there is a possibility we could see a tropical storm in April. We might have to start watching the tropics early this year. A story on ClickOrlando.com came out that conditions are right for a tropical disturbance to possibly form in the Gulf or the Atlantic. Possibly. Not happening. But, could happen. Just a good idea to note that weather is changing and we are already seeing hotter temps earlier then normal, so the possibility of storms could happen earlier than normal. The average temps in Tampa the past week have been in the mid-to high 80’s.
What Is The Chance Of Tropical Development
The “cold front” that we got on Easter looks like it will stall out over the Gulf of Mexico and Atlantic. This front would be the focal point for a developing disturbance. First of all, if something does develop, it would be too early to tell if it would be a tropical system or a hybrid subtropical storm. A hybrid storm is fueled by both warm water and differences in temperature in the atmosphere.
The water temperature in the Gulf is already around 80, so that is right where it needs to be for storms to develop. Water temps are above normal. The air temperatures are above average already. We are in need of rain bad here with a drought warnings throughout most of Florida, but we don’t wish for a tropical depression to form.
Hurricane Season officially starts June 1 and lasts through November. Daily updates from the National Hurricane Center begin May 15.
The Last Reason We Could See An April Storm
The last time a named storm developed in the Atlantic was Tropical Storm Arlene in 2017. No coincidence whatsoever, but the first name on the list for 2023 is also Arlene. Colorado State University issues their first forecast for the upcoming season on April 13.